In a previous article, we gave a rationalisation for why, despite seemingly irrational valuations, we remain overweight equities here at TAMIM. This week we continue to explore this but with a caveat, that is the potential for inflation and the reasons why it might...
Investing in Shares
When 1 + 1 Makes 3?
Robert Swift takes a look at the shift in language coming from central bankers and finance ministers and, more importantly, the implications for equities and bonds. Confirmation bias is a common problem for portfolio managers. You have a thesis and then look only for...
O Bubble, Bubble, Wherefore Art Thou Bubble?
This week we would like to revisit the topic of asset prices. More specifically, in reference to the latest RBA meetings and the IMF World Economic Outlook. A topic that is particularly important to us in perhaps elucidating whether we are in the beginning of...
Fear and Greed in the Time of Covid
By now most of the readership, we assume, has heard about the Archegos Capital fiasco. A situation that, last Friday, shook global equity markets. A series of events wiping out close to 50% of the market capitalisation of Discovery, more than 50% of Viacom, 20% off...
3 Secular Growth Thematics for the 20s & Beyond
Every generation sees certain trends that go beyond the cyclical. Trends that encapsulate a fundamental change to the way things are done. When we say secular growth, we are referring to structural changes taking place in the economy; from e-commerce fundamentally...
Questions and Lessons From The Greensill Saga
This week we would like to take a look at Greensill Capital and its spectacular fall from grace. Its fall, preceded by another yet bigger collapse in the form of German payment processor Wirecard, has raised many questions around the ability of regulators to keep up...
February Wrap: An Interesting Juncture in Capital Markets
Robert Swift takes a look at what happened in February in markets and touches on some of the adjustments made within his portfolio. This is an excerpt from Robert's Global High Conviction report for February 2021. We are at a very interesting juncture in capital...
2 Things To Keep an Eye On and Their Implications for Investors
Last week Sid Ruttala provided us with a list of things not to worry about, this week he goes the other way and takes a look at a couple of things to keep a eye on given the current market environment. Last week we briefly spoke about central bank policy and the...
Investors: Inflation, Rising Rates and Other Things Not to Worry About
Here we are, February of 2021 and it has been an interesting start to the year. For those of you that have read previous articles, you know I have been one of those outliers that has been predicting inflation and the tremendous risks posed by the bond market for a...
Walking the Tightrope: What The Biden Administration Might Mean for Australia
What an eventful year 2020 was! But with a change in administration Stateside we thought we should take a moment to dig out the crystal ball and try to grapple with what this means for us in the year to come and the markets in general. As with all predictions, please...
Top 5 Predictions for 2019 (that we never made…) | How’d they work out?
To wind up the year we decided to take a tongue-in-cheek look at the year that was. There were a number of predictions being widely thrown around by those in the industry to start the year, unfortunately many of them turned out to be unfounded. So, let's dive into...
Adjusting to a Shifting World Order
Recent weeks have highlighted the rather uncomfortable and somewhat frosty relationship between our nation and our largest trading partner. Hence we thought it might be pertinent to revisit the topic, something we first elaborated upon in the infancy of the Trump...