There is a particular pleasure in finding businesses the market has decided are finished telling interesting stories. The narrative has moved on. The growth chapter is closed. The conference circuit has lost interest. And somewhere in that silence, the cash flows keep...
One of the more reliable patterns in small and mid cap investing is that the market does not always punish the part of a result that deserves to be punished. Sometimes it punishes the whole business for the misbehaviour of a small piece of it. And sometimes, in its...
By Sid Ruttala There are few things in markets more entertaining than a commodity that has gone from “the future of civilisation” to “uninvestable rubbish” in the space of eighteen months, only to then stage a twitch and invite everyone back to the party. Lithium has...
The real bottleneck in AI may not be semiconductors, but electricity. We look at five listed global infrastructure stocks exposed to the grid, transmission, switchgear, transformers, and power distribution needed to support data centres and digital infrastructure.
By Sid Ruttala When oil spikes, investors tend to reach for the same old script. Energy prices go up, energy stocks follow, cash flows surge, dividends look safer, and suddenly what felt pedestrian last month starts to look positively strategic. That instinct is...
By Ron Shamgar One of the enduring truths in small and mid cap investing is that the market does not always reward a good result. Sometimes it does the opposite. A company can deliver strong revenue growth, solid cash conversion, reaffirm guidance, expand into...
Written by Rob Swift There is a peculiar habit in markets, one that repeats itself with almost comic reliability, where investors become so transfixed by what is loudly obvious that they entirely miss what is quietly important, and today feels very much like one of...
By Ron Shamgar Markets have a curious habit of extrapolating the recent past far into the future. When a company experiences a difficult period, investors tend to assume that weakness will persist indefinitely. Yet history shows that some of the most compelling...
By Ron Shamgar In investing, there are moments when the market slowly recognises value and rewards patient shareholders. Then there are moments when value is crystallised suddenly through corporate action. The recent takeover proposal for ClearView Wealth (ASX: CVW)...
By Darren Katz The geopolitical temperature in the Middle East is rising. The United States has increased its military posture in the region, naval assets are repositioning, and rhetoric between Washington and Tehran is intensifying. Whether conflict becomes kinetic...
Written by Ron Shamgar The Ozempic moment for SaaS refers to a pivotal disruption scenario where a transformative technology threatens to erode or fundamentally reshape an established market leader's core business model, much like the hype around Ozempic (and other...
Written by Robert Swift Investors adore narratives that offer emotional comfort. “AI will save us”, “recession is cancelled”, “central banks have everything under control”, and other fairytales that make market commentators feel clever. The inconvenient truth is that...
