Digital Clarity: Why ClearView Wealth is a Turnaround Story Hiding in Plain Sight

Digital Clarity: Why ClearView Wealth is a Turnaround Story Hiding in Plain Sight

11 Sep 2025 | Stock Insight

Written by Ron Shamgar

At TAMIM, we spend a great deal of time separating signal from noise. We like underfollowed, underappreciated businesses that are quietly compounding away from the spotlight. Occasionally, however, we come across a company that’s not just overlooked, it’s misunderstood. ClearView Wealth (ASX: CVW) is one such opportunity.

Fresh off the back of its FY25 results, ClearView has begun to look more like a nimble fintech than a traditional life insurer. The numbers suggest a turning point. The strategy shows ambition. And the valuation? Let’s just say it hasn’t caught up yet. As always, we’ll walk you through the what, the why, and the potential upside.

The Backdrop: From Laggard to Lean

ClearView Wealth has long been a quiet achiever in the life insurance space. A modest market cap ($360 million), a reasonable share of the retail life market (~3.9%), and a history of being lumped in with other legacy life insurance businesses. But here’s the thing: ClearView is no longer a legacy business.

FY25 marked the company’s complete exit from wealth management and the successful rollout of its new cloud-based insurance platform. That’s a big deal. It signals a new phase for ClearView, one defined not by restructuring, but by scaling.

While many insurers continue to wrestle with ancient systems and slow customer onboarding, ClearView is now a digitally native player. Faster quote times, lower servicing costs, and customisable product design. That’s a material advantage in a world where insurance needs are becoming more personalised and where margin pressure is real.

FY25 Results: Stronger, Smarter, Leaner

Despite a tough start to the year, ClearView’s second-half results were surprisingly strong, delivering:

  • $22.5 million in 2H25 life insurance underlying NPAT (up 12% YoY)
  • In-force premiums up 10% to $412.9 million
  • ClearChoice product premiums at $112 million since launch
  • Embedded value up 5% to $524.4 million (82c per share ex-franking)
  • Operating leverage across all major lines

Yes, full-year NPAT was down 5% to $37.7 million, but that only tells half the story. The real shift is operational: customer acquisition costs have stabilised, lapse rates have improved, and claims experience has returned to more predictable patterns. This is the kind of platform a business can grow from. In many ways, FY25 was about turning the ship. FY26 is where we expect it to pick up speed.

A Buyback-Fuelled Re-Rate?

Now let’s talk capital management, a topic close to every value investor’s heart.

ClearView has already repurchased 11.4 million shares on-market as part of its FY25 buyback program. That’s about 4.5% of issued capital. The company has flagged its intention to continue, with a potential $20 million buyback capacity in the next 12 months.

Why is this important?

Because in a stock trading on a forward P/E of 7.8x FY26 EPS guidance, buying back shares is an accretive use of capital, particularly when the underlying NPAT is expected to rise 40%. It also suggests that the board sees the shares as materially undervalued.

We estimate the stock is trading at a large discount to embedded value, with no credit given for digital transformation, potential dividends in FY26, or optionality around strategic buyers.

The FY26 Outlook: A New Engine, Ready to Roar

ClearView’s FY26 guidance is, we believe, impressive:

  • Gross premium income: $435–$440 million
  • Life insurance underlying impact: $47–$52 million
  • Group underlying NPAT: $42–$47 million
  • EPS: 6.8–7.3 cents (implied P/E of ~7.8x at current price)

In our view, this guidance is both credible and conservative.

Why?

  1. Embedded value supports the earnings base, with higher lapse rates normalising and claims well within long-term expectations.
  2. ClearChoice is gaining traction, providing better cross-sell opportunities and a fresher brand in adviser channels.
  3. Digital systems reduce cost-to-serve, helping margins expand even without top-line blowouts.

And crucially: the business is no longer distracted by non-core operations.

Technology Tailwinds: More Than Just a Platform Upgrade

Let’s dig deeper into the tech angle. This isn’t just window dressing. ClearView has spent the better part of two years replatforming its core insurance operations to the cloud and now that’s complete.

Benefits include:

  • Faster policy issuance and servicing
  • Lower unit costs on a per-policy basis
  • Simpler product innovation cycles
  • Real-time data tracking across claims and underwriting

This enables ClearView to compete with insurtechs on speed and digital delivery, while still offering the scale and trust of a licensed life insurer. For financial advisers and brokers, that’s an attractive combo, particularly as regulatory scrutiny intensifies.

In many ways, the company now looks like a platform-enabled compounder. That’s not something you could say even 18 months ago.

Founder Mentality without the Founder?

One of the more subtle features we look for in a business is “founder mentality” even when the founder isn’t in the building.

ClearView has long been run by a pragmatic, capital-disciplined management team. FY25 only reinforced that image. Rather than chasing growth at any cost, they opted for:

  • Operational simplicity
  • Scalable systems
  • Shareholder return via buybacks
  • Clear guidance and delivery

These are the hallmarks of a management team that acts like owners. As small cap investors, we’re always hunting for this mindset particularly in financial services, where discipline can slip.

M&A Optionality Still in Play

We’ve said it before, and we’ll say it again: ClearView remains a takeover target.

Why?

  • Clean balance sheet (net cash)
  • Fully migrated digital systems
  • Scalable retail life platform
  • Trading at EV/EBITDA levels that private equity would typically salivate over

We also note that 80% of Australia’s life market is controlled by a handful of large players, many of whom struggle with legacy infrastructure. Acquiring ClearView would instantly plug a modern retail life engine into a broader financial services machine.

Add in potential offshore interest (particularly from Asia) and the story becomes compelling. We’re happy holding for the earnings growth alone — but optionality is there.

Risks: Asymmetric, But Real

Of course, no investment is without risk. With ClearView, the primary ones are:

  1. Claims volatility, as always, one-off spikes can impact quarterly earnings.
  2. Tech migration challenges, although largely complete, any post-migration bugs could cause adviser friction.
  3. Distribution risks, heavy reliance on IFA channels could be impacted by regulatory changes or sentiment shifts.
  4. Investor perception, many still treat CVW as a “legacy insurer” and haven’t re-rated the digital potential yet.

That said, we believe the risks are increasingly asymmetric, tilted in favour of upside surprises in margins, earnings, and capital returns.

Valuation: What’s Priced In?

At the current share price (~56 cents), ClearView trades on:

  • 7.8x FY26 P/E
  • EV/EBITDA ~6x
  • Price to embedded value ~0.7x (ex franking)

For a digitally modern, cashflow-generative, buyback-running insurer with 40% forecast earnings growth, this is cheap.

In fact, it’s hard to find peers with:

  • Cloud-based platforms already live
  • Strong guidance and historical delivery
  • Buyback in place
  • High gross margins and low debt

Our internal valuation model suggests a target range of 80–90 cents, excluding any optionality from a potential take-over.

TAMIM Takeaway

ClearView Wealth is no longer the clunky, underperforming life insurer of old. It has evolved into a digitally enabled, capital-efficient platform business with buyback support, earnings momentum, and the optionality of strategic interest. We believe CVW is at an inflection point. With earnings guidance of up to $52 million, a lean balance sheet, and a shareholder-friendly capital allocation approach, we see material upside from here. In a market starved of quality, low multiple growth — ClearView might just live up to its name.

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Disclaimer: ClearView Wealth (ASX: CVW) is held in TAMIM Portfolios as at date of article publication. Holdings can change substantially at any given time.

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